Tag: macroeconomics

Teddy Vallee’s discretionary global macro hedge fund produced a 21% return in the first quarter of 2022 and has generated an average annualized return of 23% since 2018.

Vallee, the founder, and chief investment officer of Pervalle Global, joins Harry Melandri, an advisor at MI2 Partners, basically to answer one big question: How did you do it? “I’ve just been obsessed and focused on what the world looks like over the next 12 months” is Teddy’s short answer.

The long answer begins on a soccer field, continues with a couple of concussions, and includes the development of a series of discretionary indicators, augmented by quantitative factors and technical analysis, that gives him and his firm the flexibility to jump from asset class to asset class, from place to place, and invest successfully regardless of the global macro environment.

Teddy talks to Harry about how that flexibility “has been a huge edge for us” and also explains why he thinks “inflation is going to fade much faster than the market thinks.” Recorded on August 3, 2022.

TIMESTAMPS:

00:02:28 How Was Vallee’s Fund Up More Than 20% in Q1
00:04:53 Valle’s Macro Outlook
00:21:03 Listen to the Wise Words of Mike Tyson
00:32:14 The View on Emerging Markets
00:40:30 The View on the Dollar Wrecking Ball
00:43:48 What an Increase in Liquidity Would Mean for Crypto
00:48:30 It Ain’t What You Don’t Know That Gets You Into Trouble, It’s What You Know For Sure That Just Ain’t So

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