We are about to receive headline CPI and core CPI numbers, and where they come in is likely to have an immediate effect on risk assets. Will both core and headline inflation surprise to the upside or downside? Or will they both come in more or less where the consensus estimates are predicting they will? Let me know what you think in the comments!
The producer price index was up 0.8% month over month and 10.8% on an annual basis in May, and Wall Street economists are racing to update forecasts for this week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting to include a 75-basis-point rate hike. Stocks were mixed at midday, as prices of energy commodities continue to surge. Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and editor of The Morning Navigator, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to explain why a fire at a Texas LNG plant caused U.S. natural gas prices to sag but European prices to surge. Tony also talks about the implications of longer-term supply constraints in the energy market. We also share a segment from today’s Real Visionaries episode where top traders share actionable strategies for trading amid today’s volatility. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3xOBGbq. Watch the full Real Visionaries conversation featuring Mark Minervini, Jared Dillian, and Mark Ritchie II here: https://rvtv.io/3MSn2UZ.
Thanks for watching The Daily Briefing. Sign up here with your email address to have every episode delivered to your inbox Monday-Friday: http://rvtv.io/DailyBriefEmail
Do you want even more content like this? And to see this video before we release it here? Become a member of Real Vision — get started here: https://rvtv.io/membership
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.
Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so that there is absolutely no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors , agents, suppliers and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard to any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency or other investment instrument. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances is not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.
Upon the release of CPI data this morning, risk markets generally across the board saw a nice rally. Additionally, #DXY has taken a hit to the downside as investors speculate on inflation starting its downturn. As risk assets come to key resistance levels, the question remains if they have enough juice to break through of if we will go back down and try again later.
There’s a lot of common ground between gold investors and Bitcoin investors, beginning with “store of value” characteristics.
But their respective proponents are often at odds. Perhaps ByteTree Asset Management’s 21Shares ByteTree BOLD ETP (BOLD) will unite them around their shared loathing of inflation.
Listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange, BOLD tracks a customized index comprising Bitcoin and gold via monthly rebalancing. The weighting at launch is 18.5% Bitcoin and 81.5% gold.
In an interview with macro investor Michael Nicoletos, ByteTree CIO Charlie Morris argues that gold and Bitcoin can be organized to work in tandem, with one providing gains when the other takes a hit. Nicoletos and Morris also address recent developments in the crypto market and speculate on what the future holds. And Morris offers a theory about how crypto might have stolen underperforming silver’s lunch.
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business, and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.
Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.
– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
1:37 About The Fed
5:07 Jerome’s Speech
9:56 Fed’s Rate Hike Reasoning
13:03 The Fed vs. Inflation
16:15 Insider Trading, Recession Risks
19:46 True Unemployment, Global Economy
22:02 What Does It Mean For Crypto?
24:03 Outro
~~~~~
📜 Disclaimer 📜
The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.
This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses best in class data to look at the problems facing the world’s central banks. The ECB has convened an emergency meeting, the BoJ has re-iterated yield curve control, and the Fed is debating a faster pace of rate hikes. Something will have to give when defending a bond market in a time of high inflation. With a new 40 year high in US CPI, it’s time to get serious. In the Chatter, LSEG’s Catherine Yoshimoto outlines the major liquidity event of the Russell Index Reconstitution that takes place on June 24th.
See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2
About Refinitiv: For new insights on artificial intelligence (AI), digitalization, big data, risk management, compliance, fighting financial crime and the future of trading and investing, visit our insights hub – http://refinitiv.com/perspectives. Refinitiv is one of the world’s largest providers of financial markets data and infrastructure, serving over 40,000 institutions in approximately 190 countries. It provides leading data and insights, trading platforms, and open data and technology platforms that connect a thriving global financial markets community – driving performance in trading, investment, wealth management, regulatory compliance, market data management, enterprise risk and fighting financial crime. https://www.refinitiv.com We invite you to join Refinitiv’s social media communities: http://linkedin.com/company/refinitivhttp://twitter.com/refinitivhttp://www.instagram.com/refinitivhttp://www.facebook.com/refinitiv
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is the destination for the world’s most successful investors to share their thoughts about what’s happening in today’s markets. (Think of it like TED Talks for Finance.). Understand the complex world of finance, business and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.
Disclaimer:
The content and information (“Content”) in the video programs (“Video Programs”) is provided for informational purposes only and not investment advice. You should not construe any such Content, information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other professional advice nor does any such information constitute a comprehensive or complete statement of the matters discussed. None of the Content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer by Refinitiv or any third party service provider to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. All Content is information of a general nature, is illustrative only and does not address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Refinitiv is not a fiduciary by virtue of any person’s use of or access to the Video Programs or Content. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other Content in the Video Programs before making any decisions based on such information or other Content. In exchange for accessing and viewing the Video Programs and Content, you agree not to hold Refinitiv, its affiliates or any third party service provider liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on information or other Content made available to you through the Video Programs. The Content and information in the Video Programs has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Refinitiv makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the Content. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in the Video Programs is subject to change without notice. Refinitiv does not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Refinitiv disclaims all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct, indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in Video Programs. Refinitiv does not have regard to any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation or circumstances. Refinitiv does not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency or other investment instrument. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in the Video Programs and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive back less than originally invested and past performance is not necessarily reflective of future performance.
The Federal Open Market Committee announced the biggest increase to the federal funds rate in a quarter-century, the Bank of Japan stepped up its “yield curve control” efforts, and the European Central Bank met on an emergency basis to address Italy and “fragmenting” bond yields, as monetary policymakers continue to struggle with a crazy, mixed-up macro environment.
U.S equity indexes held onto solid gains following the Fed’s announcement of a 75-basis-point rate hike, and yields on 2-year, 10-year, and 30-year government bonds declined.
Seeking credibility, the Fed said it’s “strongly committed” to returning inflation to its 2% target. Joseph “The Fed Guy” Wang joins Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen to discuss what today’s moves by the BoJ, the ECB, and the Fed mean for markets and the economy. We also share a segment from today’s Crypto Unwrapped episode about Bitcoin, Ethereum, and recent price action in that volatile space.
Thanks for watching The Daily Briefing. Sign up here with your email address to have every episode delivered to your inbox Monday-Friday: http://rvtv.io/DailyBriefEmail
Do you want even more content like this? And to see this video before we release it here? Become a member of Real Vision — get started here: https://rvtv.io/membership
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.
What Comes After the Biggest Rate Hike in 28 Years?
Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so that there is absolutely no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors , agents, suppliers and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard to any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency or other investment instrument. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances is not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.
Into The Cryptoverse founder, @Benjamin Cowen is one of the most popular analysts in the cryptocurrency space. Cowen, a Ph.D. nuclear engineer, has leveraged his technical knowledge and Youtube reach to create an educational platform for digital assets. Benjamin shares insights on trading digital assets during a bear market, how to deal with market volatility, and why he abandoned an academic career to become a crypto quant.
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business, and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.
Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.
With the most recent US Jobs Report coming in much hotter than expected, it has many market participants wondering how this might affect the #Fed’s plans to raise interest rates. Generally speaking, good economic news during a period of high inflation may be seen as a bad thing as it allows the #Fed to remain hawkish and continue raising interest rates, by pointing to continued low unemployment.
Neal Berger’s strategy is clear: make money when stocks go down and don’t lose money when they go up.
And the chief investment officer of Eagle’s View Capital Management thinks we’re in for profound change defined by a multi-year downtrend for equity valuations.
Eagle’s View’s new Contrarian Macro Fund is designed to take advantage of “an inevitable, sustained, and material negative impact upon certain security prices for the foreseeable horizon.”
In conversation with Real Vision’s Ash Bennington, Berger details his approach to shorting and hedging, shares his inflation forecast, and explains why markets might welcome a 100-basis-point rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business, and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.
Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.
