Bitcoin Vs. DXY



The #US Dollar Currency Index continues its bull market, now breaking 113. Of course, the sustained strength by #USD continues to put downward pressure on risk assets such as #Bitcoin. How long can #Bitcoin hold on before the strength of #USD pushes it down? Let me know in the comments!

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Bitcoin Dominance



Has the #Bitcoin dominance begun its slow climb back up? We previously talked about the #BTC dominance having a potential inflection point in September, and there is still reason to believe that this is occurring, even if the pace of it is relatively slow. In this video we look at the #BTC dominance both including and excluding stable coins.

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Ethereum: Market Update



Now that the #ETH merge is in the rear-view mirror and price action has had time to adjust, we can dive back into the relevant #ETH / #USD and #ETH / #BTC charts to discuss the general outlook. So far, it seems that our prior assessment of #ETH / #BTC being in a secondary distribution phase is in fact playing out, but only time will tell if the thesis holds up.

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Federal Reserve: Upcoming Rate Hikes



The probability of a 50 bps or 75 bps rate hike in November continues to be all over the place. Investors remained somewhat perplexed about just how far the #Fed will go to curb #inflation. In this video we talk about general expectations with regards to the #Fed as we head into the end of the year, and how it could affect risk assets like #Bitcoin, #SPX, #NDQ, and #DJI.

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Federal Reserve Raises Interest Rates 75 bps



The #Fed raised interest rates by 75 bps to get the Federal Funds Rate (#FFR) up to 3.25%. Following this interest rate hike, Powell gave a press conference where he discuss the outlook of the Federal Reserve over the coming months. In this video we talk about the implications of their outlook and what it could mean for markets.

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Where is the Terminal Rate?



Where will the Fed Funds rate peak? We have talked for months about how the #Fed is likely to get interest rates to the 4-5% range. Let us look to see what markets currently think, and also make comparisons of the 2 year yield with interest rates peaking.

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Recessions and The Yield Curve



There is a lot to be gained by better understanding the yield curve and its effect on financial markets. As long as the #FED raises interest rates, there is a more compelling reason for investors to go from being risk-on to risk-off. With #inflation staying somewhat sticky, and #unemployment at historically low levels, the Federal Reserve is not under that much pressure to pivot from a period of Quantitative Tightening to Quantitative Easing. In this video, we look at how the yield curve can be used to be predict recessions, and how that relates to the #SP500.

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What Will A Future Fed Pivot Mean for Risk Assets?



The Federal Reserve will pivot at some point in the future. However, what are the implications of this pivot? Does a pivot by the Fed always immediately lead us into risk-on markets? Let us dive in and see! We also talk about inflation, unemployment, and interest rates.

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Core Inflation Accelerates



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Core CPI accelerates higher and headline CPI came in higher than expected. Now that markets are pricing (with a low probability) a 100 bps rate hike, markets are reacting. In this video we talk about #inflation, the #Fed, and risk assets like #Bitcoin and #stocks.

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Ethereum: The Merge



The #Ethereum merge is almost here! Where will it take the valuation of #ETH against #USD and #BTC? From a fundamental perspective, the transition of #Ethereum from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake is a great thing, that will likely yield a vibrant ecosystem over the macro-scale. Short-term consideration that keep me cautious are the #Fed raising interest into a slowing economy to fight #inflation, as well as #ETH / #BTC hitting historic levels. Where do you think the price of #Ethereum will go after the merge? Let me know in the comments!

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