Labor Market Conditions Index



The Kansas City Fed Labor Market Conditions Indicators (LMCI) are two indicators created to measure the current state and momentum of labor market conditions. The first indicator, referred to as the level indicator, measures the level of activity in labor markets. The second indicator, referred to as the momentum indicator, is shown in this chart and measures momentum in labor markets. A positive value indicates that the labor market momentum is above its long-run average, while a negative value signifies that the labor market momentum is below its long-run average. In order to create the level and momentum indicators a total of 24 labor market datasets are used, including the unemployment rate, initial claims and labor force participation rate.

Labor market conditions refer to the state of the job market, which includes the supply and demand for labor, the availability and quality of jobs, and the wages and benefits offered to workers.

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Job Openings Fall | What it Means for Stocks



The job market is finally starting to soften up with the most recent report from the US Department of Labor. As job openings go down, it makes sense to assume that unemployment will start to rise. As that happens, we will likely find ourselves in a recession where the #Fed will be forced to do something. While we are not yet at that point, these are important considerations to think about with regards to managing your risk.

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Do Recessions Always Follow High Inflation?



Do recessions in the United States always follow periods of high inflation? In this video we take a look at prior periods of high inflation to understand what occurred after and its implications on the #stock market. In this video we talk about #stocks, #recessions, #inflation, #unemployment, and the #Fed. What do you think of jumping into the macroverse? Let me know in the comments!

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