Bitcoin: Market Cycle ROI



This chart shows the return on investments (ROI) for all market cycles from each market cycle bottom. The bottom price for a market cycle is defined by the lowest price that the asset reaches whenever it is below its fair value logarithmic regression line. Whenever that bottom price is in, the ROI is then calculated by dividing its current price by the bottom price. For example, if the ROI value is 2 then Bitcoin has made a 100% move from the bottom price. Note that the ROI value cannot go below 1 in this chart or else we would not have correctly picked the bottom price.

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Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation



Time for some #Bitcoin dubious speculation!

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Bitcoin On-Chain Analysis: Supply Count Statistics



This chart shows the total amount of supply held by addresses with more than 0.001, 0.01, …, 100K, 1M native units of that coin or between 0.001-0.01, …, 100K-1M native units of that coin. Note that although the greater than 1K or 1K-10K supply metric for Bitcoin might be useful to watch, for ADA it might be less useful because of the supply difference. Also note that the amount of supply for most coins increases gradually over time.

There is a viewing option to switch to entity adjusted supply count statistics, the chart then counts supply held by *wallets* that have a least certain amount, instead of supply held by *unique addresses* with a least certain amount. Wallets are defined as groups of addresses belonging to the same entity. An entity can have several wallets. Currently entity-adjusted statistics are only available for Bitcoin.

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Data provided by:
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Jobs Report



In this video we talk about the various reports that came out this week regarding the labor market.

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Bitcoin: Risk Metric



Let us talk about the risk metric for #Bitcoin and how it can be used to navigate the #BTC cycles.

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Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band



Just another week gone by.

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Bitcoin: Entry/Exit Strategies



In this video we talk about various entry/exit strategies for #Bitcoin.

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CPI Report



Let us talk about the most recent #CPI report and whether inflation is still en route to the Fed’s 2% target.

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FOMC



Let us talk about the recent #FOMC!

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S&P 500 Outlook



Let us talk about the #SP500 and seasonality going into the next few weeks. We also discuss the bond market and inflation.

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