How Will China's Foreign Relations Look in 2023?



The 2020s have already seen extraordinary change – and the upheaval is still in process. A pandemic paralyzed the globe.

Supply chains buckled. Inflation exploded. Russia invaded Ukraine. Altogether we’re dealing with a combination of cross-cutting macroeconomic and geopolitical forces the effects of which will not be readily mitigated – hope as much as many investors might.

“It’s not going back to an old normal,” observes Dee Smith, the founder, and CEO of Strategic Insight Group.

As he sees it, COVID-19 accelerated the ending of the globalization era and the beginning of a period marked by multipolarity. Dee joins Jacob Shapiro, the director of geopolitical analysis at Cognitive Investments, to talk about how the world is turning as we enter 2023 and what it will take to survive and thrive.

Those with “an open mind, a willingness to turn on a dime, a psychological orientation towards agility” will prosper, according to Dee, “and the people who are disturbed by the change are going to have a harder time.” Recorded on November 16, 2022.

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#chinaeconomy #macro #chinanews

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Is This the End of US Dominance?



Turkey has been the best-performing equity market in the world in dollar terms in 2022.

Meanwhile, the Mexican peso and the Brazilian real have been among the strongest currencies against the buck this year. Amid global upheaval unlike anything in recent memory, emerging markets have become much more attractive to investors.

Is this a durable trend in asset allocation? Andreas Steno Larsen welcomes Whitney Baker, the founder of Totem Macro, for a conversation about the convergence of deglobalization, inflation, and quantitative tightening and the emergence of emerging markets as we transition to a multipolar geopolitical-macroeconomic regime.

Follow Whitney on Twitter @TotemMacro. Recorded on November 23, 2022.

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#useconomy #tech #emergingmarkets

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Peter Zeihan: Decoding China's Destiny



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Geopolitical strategist and author Peter Zeihan acknowledges how the warmer weather has blessed us this winter season, easing pressure from what could have been a disastrous energy crisis.

But, he still observes how the global systems surrounding energy and food are extremely fragile. He joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake for an update on the war in Ukraine one year later, China, and more. Recorded on March 7, 2023

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#geopolitics #chinanews #peterzeihan

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Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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China’s MASSIVE Risks To Watch: Crypto, Macro, & WAR!!



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~~~~~

📺Essential Videos📺

China Reopening Explained 👉 https://youtu.be/Q1_zTX10I6s
Weston Nakamura On PBOC 👉 https://youtu.be/wbqoX7vu86w
Michael Barr Crypto Crackdown 👉 https://youtu.be/50dhNP5ezzQ
Hong Kong Crypto Adoption 👉 https://youtu.be/om6qeMH4bvk
Stablecoin Market Caps 👉 https://youtu.be/n-dM8-x9EL0
FTX’s Secret Bank 👉 https://youtu.be/l0VUdbS4a0I
Debt Ceiling Deal 👉 https://youtu.be/IrT4xcg-rxE
China Taking Over Africa 👉 https://youtu.be/_jHHdMySoos
China Taking Taiwan 👉 https://youtu.be/2otrUKwehc8

~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

► China Stimulus Rumor: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-16/china-urged-to-boost-fiscal-stimulus-after-central-bank-eases
► Pan Gongsheng Appointed PBOC Head: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/03/chinas-central-bank-pboc-gets-a-new-party-secretary.html
► Tether’s Connections To China: https://protos.com/tether-china/
► China Intervenes To Stop Yuan Crash: https://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/chinas-state-banks-seen-selling-dollars-offshore-slow-yuan-drop-sources-2023-06-27/
► China Restricts AI Chip Mineral Exports: https://cointelegraph.com/news/china-to-tighten-control-on-exports-of-ai-chip-making-materials

~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
0:49 China’s Weak Economy, Currency
4:15 New PBOC Head And Crypto
7:42 Crypto Risks
12:17 Macro Risks
15:45 Geopolitical Risks
19:51 Outro

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#China #Crypto #Bitcoin

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When Will The Dollar Stop Wrecking Stuff?



Featuring Michael Kao and Michael Nicoletos.

During the past week, we’ve seen the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England intervene to prop up their respective currencies.

And both central banks were triaging havoc wreaked by the U.S. dollar wrecking ball. Michael Nicoletos and Michael Kao agree that the situation shares similarities with the 1997 Asian financial crisis.

At the same time, as Kao points out in this engaging conversation, the inflation factor means the playbook must be different this time around. Eavesdrop on two great financial minds as they discuss the dollar’s impact on countries around the world and sketch scenarios for how it plays out.

As Michael Kao sees it, there are no countries with economies strong enough to allow their central banks to out-hawk the Federal Reserve. Recorded on September 27, 2022.

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#dollar #geopolitics #usdollar

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This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

Note this video is intended to be informative of the process only, and not investment advice or encouragement to invest at all. If you find this, or any other content to be an interesting investment opportunity, as always, do you own research.

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China: The Next Five Years and Beyond



Last week, China delayed the release of major economic data, including third-quarter gross domestic product, industrial production, and retail sales, as the ruling Communist Party gathered for its twice-a-decade congress to establish priorities for the next five years.

The “adjustment to work arrangements” fits the hypothesis of Victor Shih, an associate professor at U.C. San Diego and an expert on Chinese elite politics. Shih says that in order for China to continue to grow, it must isolate itself from the global financial system.

He joins Maggie Lake to talk about President Xi Jinping’s grip on power, the difficulty of understanding its intentions toward Taiwan, and China’s many economic problems.

An “extend and pretend” approach could achieve positive growth over the next few years, says Shih, but it will be extremely difficult for Beijing to avoid a major disruption down the road. Recorded on October 17, 2022.

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TIMESTAMPS
1 Thoughts on China’s Party Congress  00:44
2 Tensions Brewing in China  04:03
3 China’s Technology Sector 09:28
4 The Taiwan Question 0:14:58
5 Is Increased State Surveillance Here to Stay? 0:20:37
6 Xi’s Biggest Challenges  0:26:40
7 Is the Era for Foreign Investors in China Over?  0:31:30
8 What Will the Next Five Years Look Like for China?  0:36:45
9 The Takeaways  0:40:16

#chinanews #china #chinaeconomy

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Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Why Monetary Policy is NOT Enough To Fix the EU



Europe is plagued by inflationary pressures, highlighted by an energy crisis, and it faces a recession with more serious longer-term implications than most other regions.

Structural issues will continue to test the durability of the European Union and the European Central Bank’s ability to support a functioning economy.

Christopher Dembik, the head of macro analysis at Saxo Bank, joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about governance challenges EU policymakers must overcome or sidestep in their efforts to solve energy supply and infrastructure problems, with member states increasingly divided by national interests.

Dembik explains how the ECB’s path is laden with difficulty, noting that monetary policy is not “the right tool” to bring down inflation in the eurozone. Recorded on October 14, 2022.

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#recession #monetarypolicy #europeanunion

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This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

Note this video is intended to be informative of the process only, and not investment advice or encouragement to invest at all. If you find this, or any other content to be an interesting investment opportunity, as always, do you own research.

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What'll Break First? The Real Economy or the Markets?



The Federal Reserve is dealing with a complex set of fundamental factors – including elements that could make inflation “quite persistent” – as it tries to re-establish price stability in a U.S. economy perhaps forever altered by the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath.

That’s according to Dennis Lockhart, who served 10 years as the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

Lockhart joins Harry Melandri of MI2 Partners for a comprehensive discussion of inflation and unemployment, the economic outlook and financial stability, the global energy market and geopolitics, and how the trajectory of Fed policy will impact all of the foregoing.

“The future,” Lockhart notes, “is not only problematic but also biased toward either inflation or biased toward weak growth.” Given the alternatives, though, he’s still inclined to go long the United States. Recorded on October 24, 2022.

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#financialmarkets #fed #federalreserve

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

Note this video is intended to be informative of the process only, and not investment advice or encouragement to invest at all. If you find this, or any other content to be an interesting investment opportunity, as always, do you own research.

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Using Geopolitics To Spot What's Coming Next



Dr. Pippa Malmgren is a world-renowned economist and a former advisor to President George W. Bush. She uses her background in geopolitics to spot what’s coming next, including the 2007 Global Financial Crisis, President Trump’s election, and the return of inflation.

In this special episode of “My Life in Four Trades” Podcast, Pippa talks to Real Vision’s Samuel Burke about the power of storytelling and how she acts as a bridge between investors and lawmakers.

Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

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#geopolitics #tradingstrategy #podcasts

Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

Note this video is intended to be informative of the process only, and not investment advice or encouragement to invest at all. If you find this, or any other content to be an interesting investment opportunity, as always, do you own research.

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Why Chip Manufacturing Is at the Center of Great Power Tension



This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, Circle and FTX US.

On this episode, NLW provides a 101-style primer on chip manufacturing and why it has become a key geopolitical concern for the U.S. and China, especially over the last few years.

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I.D.E.A.S. 2022 by CoinDesk facilitates capital flow and market growth by connecting the digital economy with traditional finance through the presenter’s mainstage, capital allocation meeting rooms and sponsor expo floor. Use code BREAKDOWN20 for 20% off the General Pass. Learn more and register at coindesk.com/ideas.

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“The Breakdown” is written, produced by and features Nathaniel Whittemore aka NLW, with editing by Rob Mitchell and research by Scott Hill. Jared Schwartz is our executive producer and our theme music is “Countdown” by Neon Beach. Music behind our sponsors today is “The Now” by Aaron Sprinkle and “The Life We Had” by Moments. Image credit: Andrea Nicolini/Getty Images, modified by CoinDesk. Join the discussion at discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8.

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