Bitcoin: Long-Term Moving Averages



Some of the major long-term weekly moving averages have played critical roles in the price action of #Bitcoin in the past. In this video we take a look at these moving averages, and outcome expectations for 2023.

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Bitcoin: Comparing the Cycles



It is time for us to compare the #Bitcoin cycles once again! In this video we look at a variety of charts to help us better understand what 2023 likely has in store. Generally, the years following the primary bear market years (2014, 2018, 2022) are recovery years, and are often quite choppy, getting both the bulls and the bears rekt at various points. Will 2023 be the same as 2015 and 2019? Let’s discuss!

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Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band



Time for an update on our #Bitcoin bull market support band, considering that we have a new weekly close for #Bitcoin. This bull market support band is essentially our line in the sand for separating different types of market environments. Where do you think the price of #Bitcoin is headed? Let me know in the comments!

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Real Estate: Outlook for 2023



Let’s jump into the real estate verse! In this video we take a look at several different metrics surrounding the real estate market, and use this information to discuss some things to watch for in 2023. Let me know what you think of this video on #realestate in the comments!

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FOMC and Macro Outlook



Yet again, we find ourselves on the eve of the next #FOMC. What will Powell say? Will the Fed Funds Rate increase by another 25 bps? Or will markets be surprised with something different? How will this affect risk assets? Why are risk assets rallying? In this video we talk about various views, the nuances of the views, and ongoing changes in economic data to watch to better identify the changing probabilities of a soft vs. hard landing.

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Bitcoin: The Beauty of Mathematics (Part 32)



Time for an update on our #Bitcoin: The Beauty of Mathematics series, which is actually an analysis on the total #cryptocurrency market capitalization by comparing it to our fair value logarithmic regression trend line. No model will tell us exactly when/where the entire asset class will peak, but hopefully it gives us some insight into what is realistically possible. Where do you think the price of #Bitcoin is headed? Let me know in the comments!

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Bitcoin On-Chain: Percentage Of Supply In Profit/Loss



It is time yet again for us to put on our on-chain analysis hat with regards to #Bitcoin. Are there any overall trends in the percentage of #Bitcoin is profit/loss that could be helpful for navigating the #cryptoverse? In this video, we take a look! This chart shows the percentage of existing coins whose price was lower than the current price the last time they moved on-chain. Currently only data for Bitcoin is available. There are also options to swith to the percentage of existing coins whose price was higher than the current price the last time they moved on-chain, and an option to view both.

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Data provided by: https://coinmetrics.io/

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Bitcoin: Total Indicator Risk



The total indicator risk for #Bitcoin is something we can use to better understand where we are within the market cycle. In this video we combine the social risk, price risk, and on-chain risk into a single risk indicator. What do you think of this analysis? Let me know in the comments!

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Bitcoin: Percentage Drawdown from the All Time High



Looking at the percentage drawdown from the all time high for #Bitcoin can often be quite useful, as it shows us the current bear market within the context of ones that came before it. We use this to show us what can happen, not what has to happen. In this video we look at the percent drawdown of #Bitcoin, and compare it to #Ethereum, #Cardano, and the total market cap. What do you think of this analysis? Let me know in the comments!

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Bitcoin: Year-To-Date ROI



In this video we discuss the year-to-date return on investment (ROI) of #Bitcoin. We compare the current bear market year of 2022 with 2014 and 2018. Furthermore we make other comparisons such as looking at prior #Bitcoin bull market and accumulation years.

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