Ethereum: Market Update



Now that the #ETH merge is in the rear-view mirror and price action has had time to adjust, we can dive back into the relevant #ETH / #USD and #ETH / #BTC charts to discuss the general outlook. So far, it seems that our prior assessment of #ETH / #BTC being in a secondary distribution phase is in fact playing out, but only time will tell if the thesis holds up.

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Federal Reserve: Upcoming Rate Hikes



The probability of a 50 bps or 75 bps rate hike in November continues to be all over the place. Investors remained somewhat perplexed about just how far the #Fed will go to curb #inflation. In this video we talk about general expectations with regards to the #Fed as we head into the end of the year, and how it could affect risk assets like #Bitcoin, #SPX, #NDQ, and #DJI.

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Federal Reserve Raises Interest Rates 75 bps



The #Fed raised interest rates by 75 bps to get the Federal Funds Rate (#FFR) up to 3.25%. Following this interest rate hike, Powell gave a press conference where he discuss the outlook of the Federal Reserve over the coming months. In this video we talk about the implications of their outlook and what it could mean for markets.

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Where is the Terminal Rate?



Where will the Fed Funds rate peak? We have talked for months about how the #Fed is likely to get interest rates to the 4-5% range. Let us look to see what markets currently think, and also make comparisons of the 2 year yield with interest rates peaking.

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Recessions and The Yield Curve



There is a lot to be gained by better understanding the yield curve and its effect on financial markets. As long as the #FED raises interest rates, there is a more compelling reason for investors to go from being risk-on to risk-off. With #inflation staying somewhat sticky, and #unemployment at historically low levels, the Federal Reserve is not under that much pressure to pivot from a period of Quantitative Tightening to Quantitative Easing. In this video, we look at how the yield curve can be used to be predict recessions, and how that relates to the #SP500.

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What Will A Future Fed Pivot Mean for Risk Assets?



The Federal Reserve will pivot at some point in the future. However, what are the implications of this pivot? Does a pivot by the Fed always immediately lead us into risk-on markets? Let us dive in and see! We also talk about inflation, unemployment, and interest rates.

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Core Inflation Accelerates



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Core CPI accelerates higher and headline CPI came in higher than expected. Now that markets are pricing (with a low probability) a 100 bps rate hike, markets are reacting. In this video we talk about #inflation, the #Fed, and risk assets like #Bitcoin and #stocks.

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Ethereum: The Merge



The #Ethereum merge is almost here! Where will it take the valuation of #ETH against #USD and #BTC? From a fundamental perspective, the transition of #Ethereum from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake is a great thing, that will likely yield a vibrant ecosystem over the macro-scale. Short-term consideration that keep me cautious are the #Fed raising interest into a slowing economy to fight #inflation, as well as #ETH / #BTC hitting historic levels. Where do you think the price of #Ethereum will go after the merge? Let me know in the comments!

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Ethereum After The Merge



Now that the #Ethereum merge (transition from proof of work to proof of stake) has come and gone, it is worthwhile to perform some type of price analysis. In this video, we continue to discuss the macro headwinds that #ETH faces in the short-term and discuss the outlook on #ETH / #USD and #ETH / #BTC pairs. Let me know what you think of this analysis in the comments!

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Bitcoin Outlook (A Discussion with Bob Loukas)



00:00 – Collaboration Series Continues
0:07 – Bob Loukas Intro
0:35 – Looking Back
4:41 – Looking Forward
6:31 – 16 Year Cycle
9:52 – Bear Market Bias
13:04 – Time In The Market
16:51 – Bottom Line
18:55 – Next Cycle
22:48 – Left Translated
26:26 – Broken Halving
28:11 – Bull Market Bias
34:25 – Precious Metals
37:20 – Bitcoin Maximalism
40:02 – Alternative Narratives
42:50 – ETH Merge
46:15 – Closing Thoughts
46:53 – Outro

It is time for the next part of our collaboration series! We bring on Bob Loukas, famous for discussing the #Bitcoin 4 year cycle, and his general outlook heading forward. We discuss various price trajectory ideas and his 16 year cycle theory. We also talk about #ETH and #GOLD as well! Leave a comment down below with regards to your thoughts on this discussion!

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