A Tale of Two Cities: ISM vs S&P Global Readings



On one hand, the U.S. labor market is strong. On the other hand, we’ve seen two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction.

So, is this a “real” recession, or even a “technical” recession? And what data will signal a material breakdown in the labor market? Peter Boockvar, the chief investment officer of Bleakley Advisory Group, joins Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen to share his insights on recent PMI data from both the Institute of Supply Management and S&P Global, noting the contrast between the readings in the two reports.

Peter explains how S&P Global takes into account small and mid-size enterprises (SMEs) as well as larger corporations, unlike the ISM, and breaks down why SME health is a leading indicator for larger companies, corporate earnings, and labor.

He also addresses the price pressures SMEs face, such as energy, and how spill-over effects in Europe and Asia will impact the U.S. economy. Recorded on September 6, 2022.

👉 Do you want even more content like this? And to see this video before we release it here? Become a member of Real Vision — get started here: https://rvtv.io/membership

Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

#recession #labormarket #gdp

About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business, and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.

🔥 𝗚𝗘𝗧 𝟳 𝗗𝗔𝗬𝗦 of Real Vision’s insights for only $𝟭 (seriously!) https://rvtv.io/RVfor1dollar

🚀 Want to become a better investor or start from scratch? 👉 Join the Real Investing course now! https://rvtv.io/RVAcademy

Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
RV Crypto: http://rvtv.io/RealVisionCrypto
Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter
Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram
Facebook: https://rvtv.io/facebook
Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

Note this video is intended to be informative of the process only, and not investment advice or encouragement to invest at all. If you find this, or any other content to be an interesting investment opportunity, as always, do you own research.

source

Job Openings Fall | What it Means for Stocks



The job market is finally starting to soften up with the most recent report from the US Department of Labor. As job openings go down, it makes sense to assume that unemployment will start to rise. As that happens, we will likely find ourselves in a recession where the #Fed will be forced to do something. While we are not yet at that point, these are important considerations to think about with regards to managing your risk.

Into The Cryptoverse Newsletter:
https://newsletter.intothecryptoverse.com/

Into The Cryptoverse Premium:
https://intothecryptoverse.com

LIFETIME OPTION:
https://intothecryptoverse.com/product/subscription-to-the-premium-list-lifetime/

Alternative Option:
https://www.patreon.com/intothecryptoverse

Merch:
https://store.intothecryptoverse.com/

Disclaimer: The information presented within this video is NOT financial advice.

Telegram: https://t.me/intocryptoverse
Twitter: https://twitter.com/intocryptoverse
TikTok: tiktok.com/@benjamincowencrypto
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bjcowen/
Discord: https://discord.gg/UGwc6eR
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/intothecryptoverse
Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/intothecryptoverse/
Website: https://intothecryptoverse.com/

source

Is the Jobs Report Hiding Economic Weakness?



This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, Chainalysis, FTX US and NEAR.

Last week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that 528,000 U.S. jobs were added in July. This was nearly double economists’ estimates. The Biden administration used the report as evidence that there is no recession. On today’s episode, NLW digs into why that headline number may be as obfuscating as it is revealing.

Nexo is a security-first platform where you can buy, exchange and borrow against your crypto. The company safeguards your crypto by relying on five key fundamentals including real-time auditing and insurance on custodial assets. Learn more at nexo.io.

Chainalysis is the blockchain data platform. We provide data, software, services and research to government agencies, exchanges, financial institutions and insurance and cybersecurity companies. Our data powers investigation, compliance and market intelligence software that has been used to solve some of the world’s most high-profile criminal cases. For more information, visit www.chainalysis.com.

FTX US is the safe, regulated way to buy Bitcoin, ETH, SOL and other digital assets. Trade crypto with up to 85% lower fees than top competitors and trade ETH and SOL NFTs with no gas fees and subsidized gas on withdrawals. Sign up at FTX.US today.

NEAR is a simple, revolutionary Web3 platform for decentralized apps, created by developers for developers. More than 700 projects are now building on NEAR’s fast, secure and infinitely scalable protocol, from DeFi apps to play-and-earn games, NFT marketplaces and more. Start your developer journey now by visiting NEAR at near.org.

Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/id1438693620?at=1000lSDb Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/538vuul1PuorUDwgkC8JWF?si=ddSvD-HST2e_E7wgxcjtfQ Google: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9ubHdjcnlwdG8ubGlic3luLmNvbS9yc3M= Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW “The Breakdown” is written, produced by and features Nathaniel Whittemore, aka NLW, with editing by Rob Mitchell and Eleanor Pahl. Research by Scott Hill. Jared Schwartz is our executive producer and our theme music is “Countdown” by Neon Beach. The music you heard today behind our sponsors is “The Now” by Aaron Sprinkle. Image credit: belterz/Getty Images, modified by CoinDesk. Join the discussion at discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8.

source