Why You Shouldn't Get Too Comfortable Holding Risk Assets



What’s the “Waller Rule,” and what does it have to do with dollar liquidity and your investments?

Following a speech last week by FOMC member Christopher Waller, Andreas Steno Larsen presents what he calls the “Waller Rule,” which suggests that QT will either need to slow or pause if USD reserves become equal to 10-11% of U.S. GDP.

He then breaks down why this potential scenario might be bad news for risk assets in the second half of 2023. Recorded on January 24, 2023.

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#investing #riskmanagement #risk

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This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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🚨 Learn THIS Before You Start Trading!



Learn THIS Before You Start Trading! #coachk #interview #riskmanagement #crypto

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Decisions to participate in token sales or to buy, sell or hold cryptocurrencies, as well as the access to and use of any cryptocurrency exchange or platform involves risk. You are also responsible for informing yourself about and observing any restrictions and/or requirements imposed with respect to any such token sale, or the access to and use of any cryptocurrency exchange or platform. You must use your own judgment or consult a professional for advice on such matters.

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Raoul Pal & David Dredge: Unleash Your Portfolio's Resilience



“As it turns out, things that are expected to happen rarely have asymmetric returns.”

David Dredge is in the business of creating convexity in portfolios to make them perform their best when unexpected things happen, rather than targeting performance on an expected outcome.

In this interview with Raoul, the CIO of Convex Strategies, who has over 30 years of experience managing risk across global markets, explains why he thinks conventional finance wisdom simply doesn’t work, and instead, structures portfolios so they’re resilient in the face of unknown conclusions.

Don’t miss this high-level interview where David explains how he profits from challenging the herdlike mentality and standard investment-industry norms. Recorded on Friday, February 3, 2023.

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#realvision #portfoliomanagement #raoulpal

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Breaking Down the Latest CPI Print & What It Means for You



Watch this if you want insight into the risks that most investors aren’t talking about.

Nancy Davis wants to make sure investors are accurately assessing the risk of higher-for-longer inflation.

The founder of Quadratic Capital Management points out that with markets currently pricing in disinflation, more volatility and dislocation between stocks and bonds could be coming down the road.

In this interview with Maggie Lake, the pair discuss the importance of diversification in this type of environment, why inflation-linked assets may be a good option, and the big red flags investors may be missing right now.

Stick around after the interview as Maggie and Mike Coolbaugh break down the discussion to help investors understand what risks may be lurking in their portfolios. Recorded on February 14, 2023.

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#inflationrate #inflation #cpi

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Raoul Pal & David Dredge: Profiting From the Unexpected



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“As it turns out, things that are expected to happen rarely have asymmetric returns.”

David Dredge is in the business of creating convexity in portfolios to make them perform their best when unexpected things happen, rather than targeting performance on an expected outcome.

In this interview with Raoul, the CIO of Convex Strategies, who has over 30 years of experience managing risk across global markets, explains why he thinks conventional finance wisdom simply doesn’t work, and instead, structures portfolios so they’re resilient in the face of unknown conclusions.

Don’t miss this high-level interview where David explains how he profits from challenging the herdlike mentality and standard investment-industry norms. Recorded on Friday, February 3, 2023.

CHAPTERS:
1 David’s Path to Understanding Risk & Volatility 01:34
2 Creating Portfolios That Perform The Best When Unexpected Things Happen 0:13:17
3 David’s Japanese Volatility Theory 0:30:58
4 How Do You Structure It?  0:51:30
5 JPY Rate Vol 0:55:02
6 What Looks Interesting Outside of Japan?  0:56:10
7 What Looks Interesting Outside of Japan?  01:05:57
8 The Takeaways 01:21:30

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#riskmanagement #raoulpal #portfoliomanagement

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Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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How Managing a Hedge Fund is Like Snowboarding



There are myriad ways to quantify risk. But investors, at times, struggle to even accept risk.

This lesson is one of many Todd Edgar, the chief investment officer of the Atreaus Family Office, has distilled from his multi-decade career in finance.

In conversation with Christian Alexander of Macro Link, Todd details his journey from working the slopes as a snowboarding instructor right out of college to moving on up at Tudor Investment to eventually founding his own hedge fund.

Todd and Christian also talk about why the durability of inflation may be underemphasized, whether the proliferation of recession narratives is actually “hopeful,” and whom Edgar prefers, Led Zeppelin or the Rolling Stones. Recorded on July 14, 2022.

#hedgefund #hedgefunds #riskmanagement

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Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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What Do Investors Need to Know About Small Caps?



What Do Investors Need to Know About Small Caps? Since the 1930s, small-cap stocks have outperformed inflation every single decade. It’s the only asset class to do so.

Now, with inflation giving rise to a new interest-rate regime, small caps could offer investors refuge and opportunity in these difficult and volatile markets, according to Francis Gannon.

Gannon is co-chief investment officer of Royce Investment Partners, a firm that’s specialized in small-cap investing since the early 1970s.

In conversation with Real Vision’s Maggie Lake, Gannon explains what investors need to know about this asset class and how small-cap stocks fit investor portfolios amid an economic slowdown.

#investors #investing #smallcapstocks

Recorded on June 22, 2022.

Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Risk and Trading: The Series ft. Mark Ritchie II



It’s a simple observation packed full of wisdom, and it’s just a preview of the bounty of insights dispensed in this can’t-miss series on managing risk.

Market wizards Mark Minervini, Peter Brandt, Anthony Saliba, and Mark Andrew Ritchie share with host Mark Ritchie II ideas that will change the way you manage your trading portfolio. Enjoy this introduction, and be sure to sign up for Real Vision Plus to access the entire series.

#riskmanagement #trading #tradingstrategy

Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Three Arrows Capital: What REALLY HAPPENED to 3AC?! 🏹



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~~~~

📺 Useful Vids 📺

Terra Implosion 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CutSymg94I
stETH “Depeg” 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EHwumQKadkw
Celsius Explained 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMyUbKI1mQs

~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

3AC Backstory: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-25/ex-credit-suisse-traders-amass-billions-of-dollars-of-crypto
WSJ Piece: https://www.wsj.com/articles/battered-crypto-hedge-fund-three-arrows-capital-considers-asset-sales-bailout-11655469932
Treasury Management: https://blockworks.co/three-arrows-backed-protocol-says-major-chunk-of-treasury-is-unaccounted-for/
LFG Sale: https://thedefiant.io/luna-sale-ust-bitcoin/
3AC Rumours: https://twitter.com/MoonOverlord/status/1536692319004549125
Su on Twitter: https://twitter.com/zhusu
Grayscale Update: https://twitter.com/maybebullish/status/1537876192530817029
Call Re 3AC: https://twitter.com/fintechintern/status/1537993427840733186
Treasury Rumours: https://twitter.com/FatManTerra/status/1537536177712005120
Firms Recovering: https://decrypt.co/103153/bitmex-finblox-deribit-others-exiting-three-arrows-capital-3ac-insolvency-fears
3AC Rumours: https://twitter.com/Danny8BC/status/1537224378554806272

~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
1:17 What Was 3AC?
4:35 Terra Collapse
6:30 Grayscale GBTC
9:40 stETH collapse
12:00 The Collapse
13:47 Contagion?
16:44 Conclusion

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Bitcoin #BTC #3ac #Crypto

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Mastering The Game of 𝗥𝗜𝗦𝗞



Renowned author and professor in finance, Aaron Brown had his first encounter with risk management when he was just fourteen years old — at the poker table.

Gambling is an intriguing area of conversation for host Euan Sinclair as he learns about Brown’s belief that earning an income from risk is an “essential skill” everyone should possess.

Brown’s story of his transition into traditional finance reveals differences and striking similarities between the two worlds. Filmed on March 2, 2022.

Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

Want to see the full episode? Check it out on Real Visionaries 👉 https://rvtv.io/3HaH4sD

#trading #riskmanagement #poker

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Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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