Tag: inflation rate

We’ve already seen trillions of market capitalization vaporized in 2022, as central bankers around the world have raised policy interest rates and shrunk balance sheets to bring down inflation from 40-year highs.

Now, the impact of tighter money is showing up in key leading indicators of the business cycle showing a potential recession on the horizon. And that raises the gloomy prospect of stagflation – slow-to-no growth, still-sticky inflation.

The Federal Reserve remains committed to restoring price stability. But Fed Chair Jerome Powell has hinted at data dependence. So, does a weaker-than-expected October Consumer Price Index print increase the probability of a “pivot”? Equity indexes suggest “yes,” though the consensus may be too quick to overlook a third scenario where inflation and interest rates plateau rather than plummet.

In this episode of Make of Break, Societe Generale’s Global Head of Economics Kokou Agbo-Bloua joins Real Vision’s James Helliwell to consider the anti-consensus view on inflation and to share his framework for asset allocation in 2023 and beyond.

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