The Sahm Rule is a recession indicator that was developed by economist Claudia Sahm. It is based on the idea that changes in the unemployment rate can be used to identify the onset of a recession. The rule states that if the three-month moving average of the unemployment rate increases by 0.5 percentage points or more above its low for the previous year, it is considered a recession signal. The indicator is considered simple and quick to use, and has shown to be a reliable indicator of recessions in the past.
#bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrencies
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Disclaimer: DataDash (“Company”) and The Dash Report are not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers or viewers should buy or sell for themselves. All information is for discussion and educational purposes only. The independent contractors, employees or affiliates of Company may hold positions in the stocks, currencies or industries discussed here. You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities and cryptocurrencies. The Company assumes no responsibility or liability for your trading results. Factual statements on the Companies outlets are made as of the date stated and are subject to change without notice. It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results of any individual trader or trading system published by the Company are not indicative of future returns by that trader or system and are not indicative of future returns which be realized by you. In addition, the indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features of the Company’s products (collectively, the “information”) are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
Burdened by a monetary system grown too complex and wrongfooted by a seismic regime shift, many market participants now question Federal Reserve policymakers’ understanding of and ability to manage the macro landscape.
Their choices are limited, notes renowned macro investor Hugh Hendry, and it’s questionable whether central bankers even grasp the far-reaching implications of those choices. Hendry, in conversation with Hari Krishnan, the head of volatility strategies at SCT Capital Management, explores structural inflation, global dollar funding, a Fed pivot, and more. Recorded on October 27, 2022.
TIMESTAMPS
1 The Fed and the Shortcomings of the Monetary System 01:05
2 Do You Believe Inflation Is Structural? 0:15:21
3 The Fed Is Jeopardizing Financial Repression 0:31:36
4 How Would You Trade a Fed Pivot? 0:43:10
5 Where Do Investors Go from Here? 0:57:02
6 The Takeaways 01:08:16
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#macro #macroeconomics #federalreserve
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#bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrencies
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00:00 – Intro
00:40 – Bitcoin Signals A Potential Pullback Is Coming…
02:31 – Ethereum, Solana & Many Altcoins Appear ‘Overbought’
08:30 – BONK Price Analysis | Set High Standards For An Entry
10:41 – The One Meme Coin That Excites Me
12:12 – Stock Market Analysis | NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, FANG, etc.
24:58 – The #1 Focus | Small Caps & Mid Caps (New Market Leaders)
27:38 – The Stocks We’re Looking To Buy
29:23 – Don’t Lose Sight, It’s Easy To Fall Into This Trap…
31:55 – Closing Remarks
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WARNING:
*I WILL NEVER PURSUE PROJECTS THROUGH TELEGRAM OR OTHER SOCIAL MEDIA OUTLETS. CONTACT MY EMAIL LISTED BELOW FIRST AND THEN VERIFY MY IDENTITY THROUGH A VIDEO CALL BEFORE MOVING FORWARD WITH SPONSORSHIPS. THERE ARE MANY SCAMMERS IN CRYPTO. EMAIL SPOOFING IS RAMPANT, SO VERIFY MY IDENTITY THROUGH VIDEO*
*BEWARE OF SCAM COMMENTS REQUESTING YOU TO SEND FUNDS. THESE ARE IMPERSONATORS, AS WE WILL NEVER REQUEST YOU TO SEND PAYMENTS*
Disclaimer: DataDash (“Company”) and The Dash Report are not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers or viewers should buy or sell for themselves. All information is for discussion and educational purposes only. The independent contractors, employees or affiliates of Company may hold positions in the stocks, currencies or industries discussed here. You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities and cryptocurrencies. The Company assumes no responsibility or liability for your trading results. Factual statements on the Companies outlets are made as of the date stated and are subject to change without notice. It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results of any individual trader or trading system published by the Company are not indicative of future returns by that trader or system and are not indicative of future returns which be realized by you. In addition, the indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features of the Company’s products (collectively, the “information”) are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
00:00 – Intro
00:50 – How We Did In 2023 | First, Let’s Start With The Bad…
02:58 – Why This Was A Neutral Year For Us
05:18 – How We Did In 2023 | Now, Let’s Talk About The Good…
10:39 – We’re Focused On Opportunities That Balance Risk/Reward
12:47 – A Big Announcement For 2024
14:18 – Looking Forward To 2024 | The 2 Focus Points We Need To Watch
15:36 – Will The Bitcoin ETF Lead Bitcoin Higher In 2024?
20:08 – Bitcoin Simply Doesn’t Interest Me, And Here’s Why…
24:45 – XYO Network Review (Sponsor)
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If you want me to be able to contact you in case of further issues, here’s our email list: https://forms.gle/ADorNSFkkGbggJHY6
What are your thoughts on what we discussed? Feel free to leave a comment below! Thank you all so much for watching the video. If you enjoyed the video, please consider dropping a like, subscribing, and ringing the bell icon.
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reach out to us at: http://nicholasmerten.com/advertising/
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———————————————————————————————————-
WARNING:
*I WILL NEVER PURSUE PROJECTS THROUGH TELEGRAM OR OTHER SOCIAL MEDIA OUTLETS. CONTACT MY EMAIL LISTED BELOW FIRST AND THEN VERIFY MY IDENTITY THROUGH A VIDEO CALL BEFORE MOVING FORWARD WITH SPONSORSHIPS. THERE ARE MANY SCAMMERS IN CRYPTO. EMAIL SPOOFING IS RAMPANT, SO VERIFY MY IDENTITY THROUGH VIDEO*
*BEWARE OF SCAM COMMENTS REQUESTING YOU TO SEND FUNDS. THESE ARE IMPERSONATORS, AS WE WILL NEVER REQUEST YOU TO SEND PAYMENTS*
Disclaimer: DataDash (“Company”) and The Dash Report are not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers or viewers should buy or sell for themselves. All information is for discussion and educational purposes only. The independent contractors, employees or affiliates of Company may hold positions in the stocks, currencies or industries discussed here. You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities and cryptocurrencies. The Company assumes no responsibility or liability for your trading results. Factual statements on the Companies outlets are made as of the date stated and are subject to change without notice. It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results of any individual trader or trading system published by the Company are not indicative of future returns by that trader or system and are not indicative of future returns which be realized by you. In addition, the indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features of the Company’s products (collectively, the “information”) are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
We have followed pre-halving returns throughout the year, and suggested 2.1x off the yearly open (the average high of 2015 and 2019 YTD ROI) could be achieved. Now that we have hit this milestone, what lies next for #Bitcoin?
Let’s provide an outlook on the #S&P500. Previously, we mentioned that Yellen issuing shorter duration than the market was expecting was short-term bullish for both stocks and bonds. The market has seen a nice move to the upside since then. Let’s now discuss what to watch for in the final months of the year.
