Raoul Pal & Jim Bianco: Everything Has Changed Since 2019



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There’s no going back to 2019, according to Jim Bianco, and the sooner we accept reality the better we’ll be able to see new opportunities. The post-pandemic global economy is fundamentally different, and the “easy money” era is over.

That’s why the next three months will be such a crucial time for investors. And, at Real Vision, we want to make sure you’re prepared. Our new “Make or Break” series focuses on four key market drivers that could make or break the economy: Inflation, Energy, China, and Geopolitics.

In the first episode, Raoul Pal welcomes the founder of Bianco Research for a talk about inflation and the longer-term implications of soaring consumer prices. Raoul and Jim agree on many issues – that the U.S. is already in recession, for one. But they also disagree on other big points, such as inflation.

As Jim sees it, the Federal Reserve is going to crush inflation, but consumer prices are still going to settle at a higher level. This is a can’t-miss conversation between two great macro minds on a critical “Make or Break” issue. Recorded on Wednesday, September 21, 2022.

TIMESTAMPS:
1 Introducing ‘Make or Break: Inflation’ 00:00
2 We’re Going to Break Inflation 01:48
3 This Era of Inflation Can Best Be Compared to the 1940s 06:22
4 Examining Yield Curve Control 0:13:43
5 Solutions for Europe 0:23:51
6 Bianco’s View on the U.S. Economy For the Next 24 Months 0:29:49
7 Are we in a Recession? Yes. Next Question 0:39:31
8 What Should Baby Boomers Do? 0:49:11
9 What is Going to Break? 0:54:00
10 What Happens With the Dollar? 01:03:21
11 The Takeaways 01:13:38

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This is obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future versions. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Another Year, Another Commodities Super-Cycle?



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Mish Schneider, director of trading education and research at MarketGauge.com, joins Maggie Lake to share her view of the most important macro drivers in the new year, where she’s targeting tradeable opportunities, and why investors will need to keep their heads on a swivel. Recorded on December 7, 2022.

TIMESTAMPS:
1 What Is Your Macro Outlook Going into 2023? 00:50
2 Revisiting Mish’s “Modern Family” 07:00
3 Overview of Commodities for 2023 0:17:56
4 Where Will the Dollar Go Next? 0:29:13
5 Expectations for US Equities and Retail Investors in 2023 0:31:26
6 Thoughts on Volatility in 2023 0:38:24
7 Mish’s Individual Picks 0:42:13
8 Conclusion 0:48:34
9 The Takeaways 0:50:52

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#commodities #copper #gold #oil #gas #naturalgas

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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New Year, Same Energy Playbook?



The first trading day of 2023 is in the books and boy was it eventful. As warmer-than-average temperatures hold up across the globe, #naturalgas prices are falling off a cliff. At the time of this writing, natural gas futures are down 11.8%. Oil is down meaningfully as well. Meanwhile, U.S. #stocks gave up early morning gains, with Apple and Tesla leading to the downside.

We apologize for the technical issues that caused the interruption of Tony’s feed during today’s Daily Briefing. Although the audio & video does get distorted for just a moments, but is good throughout the rest of the show. And as always thank you for watching.

On today’s show, Tony and Andreas will discuss the macro dynamics that are driving this sell-off in energy and share how they’re playing the sector in the new year.

Plus, they’ll discuss why #ElonMusk has become a problem for the typical Tesla investor and take a look at what else you should keep an eye on in the months ahead. We want to hear from you, so make sure to get your questions in.

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New Year, Same Energy Playbook?

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so that there is absolutely no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors , agents, suppliers and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard to any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency or other investment instrument. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances is not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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The Fed Stays Strong: Higher Rates for Longer



Federal Reserve officials believe that “substantially more evidence” of slowing inflation is necessary before the central bank cuts interest rates this year, according to the December FOMC minutes which were released Wednesday afternoon. Fed officials cited concern that inflation could prove “modestly persistent,” and said that higher rates for longer will be necessary to fight inflation. Officials agreed that rate cuts shouldn’t happen in 2023. On today’s Daily Briefing, Darius Dale, the founder of 42 Macro, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the market’s response to this news, his view of inflation, and what it all means for global assets as we navigate the year ahead. Plus, we hear from Mish Schnieder of MarketGauge.com who gives us her opinion of where inflation will head in 2023. Watch the entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Z30tEi

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The Fed Stays Strong: Higher Rates for Longer

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so that there is absolutely no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors , agents, suppliers and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard to any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency or other investment instrument. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances is not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Melt up to Melt Down



U.S. stocks are down after new employment and jobless claims data released this morning indicated a still-resilient labor market.

Private-sector employment rose by 235,000 in December, according to the latest ADP employment report, well above expectations. Annual pay for “job-stayers” rose 7.3%. Meanwhile, new jobless claims came in below estimates. On today’s show, Michael Gayed, the portfolio manager at Toroso Investments and editor of The Lead-Lag Report, joins Andreas Steno Larsen to discuss what signals caused him to switch from calling for a “melt-up” to an “imminent crash” at the end of 2022, and where he believes market conditions are pointing next. Plus, we hear from David Higgins about the possibility of a 2023 recession and why it might last longer than many expect. Watch the entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Qg3OvV

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Melt up to Melt Down

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so that there is absolutely no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors , agents, suppliers and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard to any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency or other investment instrument. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances is not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Is Bitcoin Going to $1 Million in the Next 90 Days?!



That’s the bet former Coinbase CTO Balaji Srinivasan is making. Is it a legitimate warning, engagement farming, or something else? NLW explores the community’s reaction.

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⚠️ Why So Many Banks Are Screwed



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The Surprising Truth About Falling Consumer Prices



Andreas Steno Larsen breaks down the most important themes in global macro. This week it’s falling inflation.

In the inaugural episode of Stenos Signals, Andreas walks us through why inflation will fall fast in the first quarter of this year, why that might not be a broad-based sign to buy equities— especially in the energy sector— and tells us how he’s setting up to trade it. Recorded on January 3rd, 2022.

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#macro #inflationrate #inflation

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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📈 Insane Price Prediction From Ex-Coinbase CTO #shorts #bitcoin #btfp



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Watch Out! This Is How They Can Steal Your Money!!



🛒 Get The Hottest Crypto Deals 👉 https://www.coinbureau.com/deals/
📲 Insider Info in our Socials 👉 https://www.coinbureau.com/socials/
👕 Our Merch Store 👉 https://store.coinbureau.com
🔥 TOP Crypto TIPS In our Newsletter 👉 https://www.coinbureau.com/newsletters/

~~~~~

📺 Essential Videos 📺

Worst Cases of Hyperinflation 👉 https://youtu.be/EShqOy1dgek?feature=shared
Trevor Noah on Shrinkflation 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1tFcCpvXAUk
John Oliver on Shrinkflation 👉https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MBo4GViDxzc
Embarrassing Examples of Shrinkflation (Dannyrayes) 👉 https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Lql8bNv_6MU

~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

► Bitcoin and Inflation: https://www.coinbureau.com/analysis/bitcoin-inflation-hedge/
► Financial Times’ Global Inflation Tracker: https://www.ft.com/content/088d3368-bb8b-4ff3-9df7-a7680d4d81b2
► Edgar‘s Customer Protection Website: https://www.mouseprint.org/category/downsiz/
► Reddit Page on Shrinkflation: https://www.reddit.com/r/shrinkflation/
► NPR Piece on Skimpflation: https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2021/10/26/1048892388/meet-skimpflation-a-reason-inflation-is-worse-than-the-government-says-it-is

~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
0:53 Inflation
3:23 Shrinkflation
7:00 Mr Dworsky
10:11 Skimflation
13:35 Stealth Inflation
15:46 Outro

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Crypto #Inflation #Moneytips #Shrinkflation

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