Inflation: Where Will October's Promising Signs Lead?



Stocks surged following the release of U.S. Consumer Price Index data for October, a softer-than-expected print taken as sure sign inflation is on the downslope. But all Andy Constan sees is another “false dawn.”

Andy, now the CEO of Damped Spring and a veteran of both Solomon Brothers and Bridgewater Associates, says markets face significant headwinds because of quantitative tightening.

He joins Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about the main drivers of financial asset prices right now – contracting liquidity, risk premia, and positioning, among others – and to share his “Framework 101” for building portfolios and generating alpha. Recorded on November 16, 2022.

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#macro #assets #inflation

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Why Politics Should Drive Your Portfolio Decisions



Former Hedge Fund Manager Russell Clark has a new macro framework.

In this interview with Real Vision’s James Helliwell, he explains why macroeconomics is merely a subset of politics, and how that informs his investment decisions.

Plus, he offers thoughts on how to trade this new thesis. Recorded on December 1st, 2022.

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#portfolio #tradingstrategy #investingstrategy

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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The Surprising Truth About Falling Consumer Prices



Andreas Steno Larsen breaks down the most important themes in global macro. This week it’s falling inflation.

In the inaugural episode of Stenos Signals, Andreas walks us through why inflation will fall fast in the first quarter of this year, why that might not be a broad-based sign to buy equities— especially in the energy sector— and tells us how he’s setting up to trade it. Recorded on January 3rd, 2022.

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#macro #inflationrate #inflation

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Watch Out! This Is How They Can Steal Your Money!!



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~~~~~

📺 Essential Videos 📺

Worst Cases of Hyperinflation 👉 https://youtu.be/EShqOy1dgek?feature=shared
Trevor Noah on Shrinkflation 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1tFcCpvXAUk
John Oliver on Shrinkflation 👉https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MBo4GViDxzc
Embarrassing Examples of Shrinkflation (Dannyrayes) 👉 https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Lql8bNv_6MU

~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

► Bitcoin and Inflation: https://www.coinbureau.com/analysis/bitcoin-inflation-hedge/
► Financial Times’ Global Inflation Tracker: https://www.ft.com/content/088d3368-bb8b-4ff3-9df7-a7680d4d81b2
► Edgar‘s Customer Protection Website: https://www.mouseprint.org/category/downsiz/
► Reddit Page on Shrinkflation: https://www.reddit.com/r/shrinkflation/
► NPR Piece on Skimpflation: https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2021/10/26/1048892388/meet-skimpflation-a-reason-inflation-is-worse-than-the-government-says-it-is

~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
0:53 Inflation
3:23 Shrinkflation
7:00 Mr Dworsky
10:11 Skimflation
13:35 Stealth Inflation
15:46 Outro

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Crypto #Inflation #Moneytips #Shrinkflation

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Steno's Signals: How China's Reopening May Affect Commodities & Equities



🔥 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄 Newsletter: Understand What’s Moving Markets — In Minutes! http://www.realvision.com/rvdb

China bids adieu to zero-COVID this week after its borders reopened, and investors are flocking in to capitalize on these long-awaited trading opportunities.

Andreas takes a step back to examine the Chinese economy as it currently stands and digs into how the reopening may affect prices across various asset classes. Recorded on January 10, 2023.

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Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

#chinaeconomy #chinanews #financialmarkets

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Inflation BTC RALLY Kicked Off! | Next Level For BTC?



If you have money in crypto, BE CAREFUL! We have seen a great rally from Bitcoin and Altcoins, but the CPI inflation data could wipe out all your profits! Make sure to join Sheldon the Sniper in today’s edition of Crypto Banter to find out how to best trade the incoming move, don’t miss it!!

💎 BYBIT – *ROLEX* 💎
Win a Luxury ROLEX live on THE SHOW!!
– Must Sign up with BYBIT on link below!
👉 https://partner.bybit.com/b/SROLEX
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– Must make 1 Trade by end Feb to be selected for 2 x ROLEXS!! 🔥

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– Receive bonuses up to $600 trading fee credit.

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Disclaimer:
Crypto Banter is a social podcast for entertainment purposes only.
All opinions expressed by the hosts, guests and callers should not be construed as financial advice. Views expressed by guests and hosts do not reflect the views of the station. Listeners are encouraged to do their own research.

#Bitcoin #Altcoins #CryptoTrading

– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –

00:00 Crypto Market Rally Today
01:15 Understanding the Bitcoin Rally
05:10 Is this Crypto Pump Fake or Real?
07:00 Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis
11:16 Shorting Bitcoin Now?
13:50 Bitcoin Long-to-Short Ratio
16:00 ByBit Rolex Giveaway – How to Win
19:00 DXY & Bitcoin Price Action
22:15 Upcoming CPI Inflation Numbers News
23:08 Trading Ethereum Bitcoin Pair
24:45 Trading Altcoins – BNB, Solana & AVAX

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Market CRASH? MORE Inflation? Jackson Hole & What It Means!!



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~~~~~

📺Essential Videos📺

2022 Jackson Hole Summary 👉 https://youtu.be/3jejI9da8Ic?si=w-xAauNHdcwxO5rg
Banking Crisis Explained 👉 https://youtu.be/qHcvrgfj4-w?si=0gq0jFTLVfKlTspm
What Central Banks Are Planning 👉 https://youtu.be/wdpQoO8af6g?si=CWHQNqJ3KzgkH8In
EU ESG Regulations 👉 https://youtu.be/Drpmfl0ZDaI?si=nDv-SfYL8SEe51A-

~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

► Jackson Hole 2023 Schedule: https://www.kansascityfed.org/research/jackson-hole-economic-symposium/jackson-hole-economic-policy-symposium-structural-shifts-in-the-global-economy/
► Jerome Powell Jackson Hole Speech: https://www.youtube.com/live/A9Pz0vIi5yQ?si=4aFBIzDwTscp-jfO
► Fed Balance Sheet: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL
► Kazuo Ueda Says Stimulus Will Continue: https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/bojs-ueda-underlying-inflation-still-bit-below-target-2023-08-26/
► Christing Lagarde Jackson Hole Speech: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2023/html/ecb.sp230825~77711105fe.en.html
► EU Doesn’t Have Enough Gas Storage: https://www.ft.com/content/e5c3ebd4-0758-4bd3-802c-8a5a82f58034

~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
0:48 What is Jackson Hole?
3:29 Jerome’s Speech
6:56 Fed Predictions, Market Effects
10:22 ECB BoJ Presence
13:35 Christine’s Speech
17:28 ECB Predictions, Market Effects
22:21 Outro

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Crypto #Bitcoin #Inflation #BTC

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Worst Cases of Hyperinflation: What It’s Like & How To Survive!!



🛒 Get The Hottest Crypto Deals 👉 http://www.coinbureau.com/deals
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👕 My Merch Store 👉https://store.coinbureau.com
🔥 TOP Crypto TIPS In My Newsletter 👉 https://guy.coinbureau.com/signup/

~~~~~

📺Essential Videos📺

Inflation is Destroying The Economy 👉 https://youtu.be/qALJf_ZhCMc
How To Protect Yourself Against Inflation 👉 https://youtu.be/HcPpYDetsCk

~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

►FBI Silk Road Interview: https://youtu.be/4KiO8GRgwDk
► Eurozone Inflation: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/01/business/eurozone-inflation-june.html
► Global Inflation Tracker: https://www.ft.com/content/088d3368-bb8b-4ff3-9df7-a7680d4d81b2
► Which Countries Have the Highest Inflation?: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/mapped-which-countries-have-the-highest-inflation/
► Man Who Took Hostages Demanding His Own Money: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/aug/11/gunman-takes-hostages-at-beirut-bank-to-try-to-free-his-trapped-savings
► Bitcoin ‘mining’ is big business in Venezuela: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/03/10/bitcoin-mining-is-big-business-in-venezuela-but-the-government-wants-to-shut-it-down/

~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
1:10 Lebanon
4:08 Venezuela
6:41 Zimbabwe
10:55 Conclusion

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #Cryptocurrency

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More Rate Hikes?? FED’s Press Conference REVEALS This!!



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🔥 TOP Crypto TIPS In My Newsletter 👉 https://guy.coinbureau.com/signup/

~~~~~

📺Essential Videos📺

Previous Fed Press Conference Summary 👉 https://youtu.be/FezCpY9jHPU
Jerome Powell Press Conference 👉 https://youtu.be/t1RDj1CMnLA
Debt Ceiling Deal Market Effects 👉 https://youtu.be/IrT4xcg-rxE

~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

► Fed Calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
► US Jobs Report Release Schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/empsit.htm
► US CPI Release Schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm

~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
0:46 Fed Recap
4:11 Jerome’s Speech
7:43 Inflation, Interest Rates
11:10 Lag Effects, Recession
14:37 Banking System, Market Rally
18:06 What Does It Mean For The Markets?
21:18 Outro

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#FED #Inflation #Rates #BTC #Federalreserve

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MORE RATE HIKES Coming?! Everything That The Fed Said!!



🛒 Get The Hottest Crypto Deals 👉 http://www.coinbureau.com/deals
📲 Insider Info in my Socials 👉 https://guy.coinbureau.com/socials/
👕 My Merch Store 👉https://store.coinbureau.com
🔥 TOP Crypto TIPS In My Newsletter 👉 https://guy.coinbureau.com/signup/

~~~~~

📺Essential Videos📺

Previous Fed Press Conference Summary 👉 https://youtu.be/m7fnRJ8zswU
Debt Ceiling Deal 👉 https://youtu.be/IrT4xcg-rxE
Credit Crunch Incoming 👉 https://youtu.be/iX4vhOh7FUo
Commercial Real Estate Crisis 👉 https://youtu.be/PziydUm1ees

~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

► Full Fed Press Conference June 2023: https://youtu.be/WjXa3vA9s_o
► Fed Press Conference Schedule: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
► CPI Dates: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm
► PCE Prints: https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index
► Unemployment Releases: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/empsit.htm

~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
0:44 Fed Recap
5:02 Jerome’s Speech
8:33 Skip vs. Pause
11:35 Inflation, Market Surprise
14:56 TGA Refill, Recession
17:43 Financial Stability Risks
21:02 What It Means For The Markets
24:18 Outro

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Fed #Powell #Bitcoin

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