Fed Funds Rate – Pancake Money

FOMC, Yield Curve, Inflation, and Bitcoin

With the most recent #FOMC, it gives us plenty to talk about with regards to interest rates, #Bitcoin, #inflation, the yield curve, #DXY, and more!
Fed Summary of Economic Projections (someone had to remind me lol):
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20230920.pdf

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CPI Report

With the most recent #CPI report, let’s dive back into the macroverse to unpack the numbers. In this video, we discuss headline inflation, core inflation, and break the inflation numbers down by category. We also discuss potential impacts of the recent CPI report on the terminal Fed Funds rate.

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JOLTS

Let us talk about the most recent #JOLTS report, the unemployment rate, and the potential evidence of a recession sometime over the next year. Hope you enjoy our occasional dives into the macroverse!

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PCE Price Index Comes in Hot

The PCE report today came in hotter than expected, renewing #inflation fears. We have talked a lot about the potential scenario; namely, the re-acceleration of #inflation. In this video we talk about the implications of this #PCE report and the reaction function possibilities by the Federal Reserve.

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Where is the Terminal Rate?

Where will the Fed Funds rate peak? We have talked for months about how the #Fed is likely to get interest rates to the 4-5% range. Let us look to see what markets currently think, and also make comparisons of the 2 year yield with interest rates peaking.