Is Bitcoin Going Into A LONG Bear Market?



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Bitcoin: Summer Lull 2.0?



Will #Bitcoin have another summer lull, similar to 2021? Let us jump into the cryptoverse and discuss potential outcomes during this pre-halving year.

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ETH/BTC Outlook



The #ETH valuation against #BTC continues to put in lower highs. Will this just be remembered as a massive distribution phase? Let us talk about the #ETH / #BTC valuation and look at likely outcomes!

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Ethereum: Homeward Bound



Will #Ethereum still return home? In this video we talk about the reasons for #ETH still potentially heading home in 2023, and what to look for over the coming months. We also discuss the #ETH / #BTC valuation as well, and the potential recession risk.

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Bitcoin: Social Risk



The social risk for the cryptoverse can provide insight that perhaps the price and on-chain risk cannot provide. In this video we dive into the social risk and how we can use it to better understand where we are within the context of the market cycles.

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Bitcoin On-Chain Risk



This chart shows the historical backtest of the on-chain risk. The legend allows you to toggle between the individual risk charts that make up the total on-chain risk. Above the chart you can set the weights of the individual risk metrics and see how it changes the total on-chain risk. A weight of 0 removes the metric from the total on-chain risk calculation and a weight of 0.5 makes it contribute 50% less. After the total on-chain risk is calculated, the metric is re-normalized between 0 and 1. To display the true average you can toggle to the “Average” option above the chart.

The historical on-chain risk metric serves as a complementary risk indicator to the original risk metric by using some of the most important on-chain metrics that we offer on our charts page. In this way you can easily check the sentiment across many important on-chain metrics, and use the charts page to dive deeper into the individual metrics. Some individual risk charts provide a unique look to the current stage of the market as well. For example the terminal price risk metric has so far always reached 0 at market cycle bottoms and above 0.9 for market cycle peaks (assuming the most recent significant peak was in April 2021).

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Bitcoin: Price Risk



The price risk for #Bitcoin consists of several different metrics including logarithmic regression, the legacy risk metric of ITC, and more. What do you think of this risk metric? Let me know in the comments!

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Bitcoin: Total Risk



The Total Risk for #Bitcoin includes the price, on-chain, and social risk, which we covered on this channel over the last few days. The strategy that I have found the most helpful for #crypto is to DCA into the market at low risk levels, and DCA out at high risk levels. Of course, it is up to you to decide what a low and high risk level would correspond to, based on your own risk tolerance.

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Bitcoin Dominance



#Bitcoin dominance has navigated its way back to the range highs. Can it finally breakout and break the collective #altcoin market off of its #Bitcoin support levels? I think it will, but we will have to wait and see!

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Bitcoin: Monthly Returns



Let us check out the #Bitcoin monthly returns now that we have wrapped up another month. This is the 4th green month in a row for #Bitcoin. Will the 2023 pre-halving year behave similar to 2015 and 2019?

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