Dario Perkins & Roger Hirst: The BIG Macro Turning Point



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We are in the very early stages of a new macro regime, and investors need to adapt.

In the second installment of our two-week special, How To Unf*ck Your Future series, Dario Perkins explains why he thinks we’re leaving behind the regime of the past 50 years and currently entering a new multi-decade supercycle.

The Managing Director for Global Macro at TS Lombard tells Roger Hirst that we’re in the very early stages of a new macro environment where the stock market will start to reflect the economy a little bit more and where the balance of power between labor and capital in the economy is tilted toward labor.

In his view, that means it will require a lot more effort for investors to eke out returns. Recorded on Friday, March 3, 2023.

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#financialmarkets #macro #realvision

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

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This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Dario Perkins: The Early Stages of a New Macro Regime



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We are in the very early stages of a new macro regime, and investors need to adapt.

In the second installment of our two-week special, How To Unf*ck Your Future series, Dario Perkins explains why he thinks we’re leaving behind the regime of the past 50 years and currently entering a new multi-decade supercycle.

The Managing Director for Global Macro at TS Lombard tells Roger Hirst that we’re in the very early stages of a new macro environment where the stock market will start to reflect the economy a little bit more and where the balance of power between labor and capital in the economy is tilted toward labor. In his view, that means it will require a lot more effort for investors to eke out returns. Recorded on Friday, March 3, 2023.

CHAPTERS:
1 We’re at a Turning Point 00:47
2 Expect More Volatility in Inflation 08:15
3 Changing the Way We Invest 0:23:58
4 Volatility Will Rule in the Bond Market 0:33:26
5 Focus on Emerging Markets 0:39:29
6 The Tangible 20s 0:42:59
7 The Takeaways 0:56:05

Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

#macroeconomics #realvision #macro

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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More Fuel For The Inflation Fire



The jury is out on whether massive government spending in response to the COVID-19 pandemic contributed to today’s inflation.

However, as politicians stare down a potential recession, they face a critical dilemma: by stimulating growth will they also further stimulate prices?

Dario Perkins, the managing director of global macro at TS Lombard, joins Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about the consequences of the European energy crisis, including a vicious cycle of expansionary fiscal policy that would only exacerbate existing systemic problems. Perkins also shares his thoughts on the “romance” with Modern Monetary Theory and describes what he considers a “true” recession. Recorded on August 18, 2022.

Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

Note this video is intended to be informative of the process only, and not investment advice or encouragement to invest at all. If you find this, or any other content to be an interesting investment opportunity, as always, do you own research.

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Full Episode: More Fuel For The Inflation Fire



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The jury is out on whether massive government spending in response to the COVID-19 pandemic contributed to today’s inflation.

However, as politicians stare down a potential recession, they face a critical dilemma: by stimulating growth will they also further stimulate prices?

Dario Perkins, the managing director of global macro at TS Lombard, joins Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about the consequences of the European energy crisis, including a vicious cycle of expansionary fiscal policy that would only exacerbate existing systemic problems.

Perkins also shares his thoughts on the “romance” with Modern Monetary Theory and describes what he considers a “true” recession. Recorded on August 18, 2022.

TIMESTAMPS:

00:01:39 What are the Odds of a Recession Now?
00:04:23 A Glimmer of Hope?
00:06:25 Technical Versus True Recession
00:08:32 Inflation Blame Game
00:11:48 Lessons Learned
00:13:59 Policy Response to Rising Energy Costs
00:16:20 Stuck in a Vicious Cycle?
00:20:07 “The Cure for High Prices is High Prices”
00:21:57 New Regime for Inflation
00:27:21 Demographic Economics
00:30:25 Reshoring Manufacturing Jobs
00:31:49 The MMT Romance
00:35:16 A Question of Trust
00:37:41 The New Policy Mix
00:43:00 The Hunt for Clarity
00:46:04 Market Disconnects
00:47:00 The Takeaways

Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

#inflation #energycrisis #fiscalpolicy

About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business, and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.

Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
🔥 𝗚𝗘𝗧 𝟳 𝗗𝗔𝗬𝗦 of Real Vision’s insights for only $𝟭 (seriously!)
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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Video Title



Dario’s views of the global economy’s structure and how the next decade plays out are very different from those of most observers.

He thinks the 1970s analog is the wrong one to look at and that the postwar decades, the 1940s and the 1950s, provide a better framework. At the same time, he foresees a move toward a “tangible economy” and away from the “intangible economy” of the 2010s. In a fascinating and thought-provoking discussion, Dario and Raoul talk about the ramifications of this transition for inflation, growth, and interest rates.

Recorded on May 12th, 2022.

#RaoulPal #macroeconomics #businessanalysis

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#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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