Risk On – Pancake Money

Precious Metals

Precious metals like #Gold, #Silver, and #Copper are interesting as hedges in a portfolio that consists of risk assets. We have seen precious metals do well during economic uncertain times like the 1970s and the 2000s. Both of those decades saw relatively stagnant #SP500 returns. In this video we also take a look at the Gold/Copper and Gold/Silver ratios.

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Disclaimer: The information presented within this video is NOT financial advice.

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Recessions and The Yield Curve

There is a lot to be gained by better understanding the yield curve and its effect on financial markets. As long as the #FED raises interest rates, there is a more compelling reason for investors to go from being risk-on to risk-off. With #inflation staying somewhat sticky, and #unemployment at historically low levels, the Federal Reserve is not under that much pressure to pivot from a period of Quantitative Tightening to Quantitative Easing. In this video, we look at how the yield curve can be used to be predict recessions, and how that relates to the #SP500.

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Macroeconomics: Yield Curve, Inflation, Unemployment, Stocks, and Recessions

During a period where many of us have decided to become armchair economists (myself included), I thought it would be somewhat useful to dive into some larger trends shaping in the current macroeconomic landscape. We can see some inversions on the yield curve, inflation remains high, and the #Fed will likely have to continue raising rates into a slowing economy due to rampant #inflation. Of course anything can happen, but the outlook on some of these metrics can be useful in navigating these market conditions.