Real Estate Outlook



Let’s jump into the real estate verse and talk about what is happening! I’m not well-versed in real estate at all, but perhaps going through some of the charts is a good place to start!

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Does a Declining Dollar Increase Inflation? | The Big Conversation | Refinitiv



This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses best in class data to look at the recent decline in the dollar and what this could mean for Fed policy. The long-term relationship of a falling dollar is rising commodity prices. Therefore, an early pivot could run the risk of rebooting inflation.

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

Subscribe now for more videos like this one: https://rvtv.io/2OW3mqu

Become a member of Real Vision — get started for 7 days for only $1: https://rvtv.io/membership

About Refinitiv: For new insights on artificial intelligence (AI), digitalization, big data, risk management, compliance, fighting financial crime and the future of trading and investing, visit our insights hub – http://refinitiv.com/perspectives. Refinitiv is one of the world’s largest providers of financial markets data and infrastructure, serving over 40,000 institutions in approximately 190 countries. It provides leading data and insights, trading platforms, and open data and technology platforms that connect a thriving global financial markets community – driving performance in trading, investment, wealth management, regulatory compliance, market data management, enterprise risk and fighting financial crime. https://www.refinitiv.com We invite you to join Refinitiv’s social media communities: http://linkedin.com/company/refinitiv http://twitter.com/refinitiv http://www.instagram.com/refinitiv http://www.facebook.com/refinitiv

About Real Vision™:

Real Vision™ is the destination for the world’s most successful investors to share their thoughts about what’s happening in today’s markets. (Think of it like TED Talks for Finance.). Understand the complex world of finance, business and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.

Disclaimer:

The content and information (“Content”) in the video programs (“Video Programs”) is provided for informational purposes only and not investment advice. You should not construe any such Content, information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other professional advice nor does any such information constitute a comprehensive or complete statement of the matters discussed. None of the Content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer by Refinitiv or any third party service provider to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. All Content is information of a general nature, is illustrative only and does not address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Refinitiv is not a fiduciary by virtue of any person’s use of or access to the Video Programs or Content. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other Content in the Video Programs before making any decisions based on such information or other Content. In exchange for accessing and viewing the Video Programs and Content, you agree not to hold Refinitiv, its affiliates or any third party service provider liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on information or other Content made available to you through the Video Programs. The Content and information in the Video Programs has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Refinitiv makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the Content. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in the Video Programs is subject to change without notice. Refinitiv does not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Refinitiv disclaims all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct, indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in Video Programs. Refinitiv does not have regard to any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation or circumstances. Refinitiv does not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency or other investment instrument. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in the Video Programs and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive back less than originally invested and past performance is not necessarily reflective of future performance.

Note this video is intended to be informative of the process only, and not investment advice or encouragement to invest at all. If you find this, or any other content to be an interesting investment opportunity, as always, do you own research.

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Can Unemployment Help the Fed? | The Big Conversation | Refinitiv



This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses best in class data to look at the outlook for employment and its implications for both recessions and equity markets. In the Chatter, Real Vision’s Roger Hirst talks to Kelvin Tay, Regional Chief Investment Officer at UBS Wealth Management in Singapore, about the likelihood of a recession in the US.

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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About Refinitiv: For new insights on artificial intelligence (AI), digitalization, big data, risk management, compliance, fighting financial crime and the future of trading and investing, visit our insights hub – http://refinitiv.com/perspectives. Refinitiv is one of the world’s largest providers of financial markets data and infrastructure, serving over 40,000 institutions in approximately 190 countries. It provides leading data and insights, trading platforms, and open data and technology platforms that connect a thriving global financial markets community – driving performance in trading, investment, wealth management, regulatory compliance, market data management, enterprise risk and fighting financial crime. https://www.refinitiv.com We invite you to join Refinitiv’s social media communities: http://linkedin.com/company/refinitiv http://twitter.com/refinitiv http://www.instagram.com/refinitiv http://www.facebook.com/refinitiv

About Real Vision™:

Real Vision™ is the destination for the world’s most successful investors to share their thoughts about what’s happening in today’s markets. (Think of it like TED Talks for Finance.). Understand the complex world of finance, business and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.

Disclaimer:

The content and information (“Content”) in the video programs (“Video Programs”) is provided for informational purposes only and not investment advice. You should not construe any such Content, information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other professional advice nor does any such information constitute a comprehensive or complete statement of the matters discussed. None of the Content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer by Refinitiv or any third party service provider to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. All Content is information of a general nature, is illustrative only and does not address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Refinitiv is not a fiduciary by virtue of any person’s use of or access to the Video Programs or Content. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other Content in the Video Programs before making any decisions based on such information or other Content. In exchange for accessing and viewing the Video Programs and Content, you agree not to hold Refinitiv, its affiliates or any third party service provider liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on information or other Content made available to you through the Video Programs. The Content and information in the Video Programs has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Refinitiv makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the Content. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in the Video Programs is subject to change without notice. Refinitiv does not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Refinitiv disclaims all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct, indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in Video Programs. Refinitiv does not have regard to any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation or circumstances. Refinitiv does not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency or other investment instrument. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in the Video Programs and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive back less than originally invested and past performance is not necessarily reflective of future performance.

Note this video is intended to be informative of the process only, and not investment advice or encouragement to invest at all. If you find this, or any other content to be an interesting investment opportunity, as always, do you own research.

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Housing Market: Is The Bubble Popping?! How Low Will It GO?!



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~~~~~~

📺 Useful Vids 📺

UK Disaster 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ib5SToFjtYQ
Property Market Dynamics 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VRrnpU49wus

~~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

RBC Report: https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/buying-a-home-has-never-been-so-unaffordable-in-canada/
Toronto Home Prices: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-05/toronto-home-prices-are-down-17-as-sales-and-listings-plunge
US Home price analysts: https://fortune.com/2022/10/03/housing-market-wall-street-home-prices-predictions-moodys-goldman-sachs-morgan-stanley-fitch-ratings/
20% Fall: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/house-price-fall-drop-2023-mortgages/
US Home Builder Sentiment Falling: https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-home-builder-sentiment-falls-10th-straight-month-nahb-2022-10-18/
Canada ARMs: https://financialpost.com/real-estate/mortgages/housing-mortgage-sector-bank-of-canada-rate-hike
UK Banks & Rates: https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-banks-start-cutting-truss-premium-mortgage-rates-slowly-2022-10-27/
UK House Prices to Fall: https://www.theguardian.com/money/2022/sep/28/uk-house-prices-predicted-fall-mortgage-interest-rate
Bank of England Raise Rates: https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/bank-england-poised-raise-rates-by-most-33-years-2022-10-28/

~~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
0:33 US Housing Market
5:21 Analyst Estimates
10:39 Canada Housing Bubble
15:54 UK Housing Market
20:33 Final Thoughts

~~~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Housing #Property #bubble

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This is What Comes Next From The Fed! Impact on Markets?!



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~~~~~

📺Essential Videos📺

Jerome Powell Jackson Hole 👉 https://youtu.be/3jejI9da8Ic
Housing Market Crash Explained 👉 https://youtu.be/VRrnpU49wus
The Bank For International Settlements 👉 https://youtu.be/To5ek8F7zIQ
BTC Becoming World’s Reserve Currency 👉 https://youtu.be/QcXIwytY5qM
CBDCs vs. Cryptocurrency 👉 https://youtu.be/Vb1Y760Sazc

~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

► Jerome Powell Full Press Conference (Starts Half Way): https://youtu.be/ukFnKCtptX4

~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
0:33 About The Press Conference
1:42 Jerome’s Speech
4:57 Question Period Part 1
7:41 Question Period Part 2
11:25 Question Period Part 3
14:41 When Will The Fed Finally Pivot?
18:34 Outro

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Fed #Powell #Dollar #Inflation

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Housing Market Crash: It's Coming & This is WHY!!



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~~~~~

📺Essential Videos📺

Previous Housing Market Video 👉 https://youtu.be/VRrnpU49wus
Fed Press Conference Summary 👉 https://youtu.be/SXUU34ZeKuw
How To Beat Inflation 👉 https://youtu.be/HcPpYDetsCk
Are We Actually In A Recession 👉 https://youtu.be/Y8_OSG4wJ00

~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

► Monthly Supply Of New Houses USA: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSACSR
► European House Price Growth: https://tradingeconomics.com/european-union/housing-index
► Median Price Of Existing Homes USA: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSPUS
► Median Price Of New Homes USA: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSPNHSUS
► Manhattan Rents Hit Another Record High: https://edition.cnn.com/2022/08/11/homes/manhattan-rents-july/index.html

~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
1:18 Why Housing Costs Are High
4:29 Housing Market Slowdown
7:58 Why Are People Still Buying?
10:37 Where are Costs Increasing?
14:42 When Will The Market Crash?
19:51 Outro

~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Fed #Housing #Property #Economics #realestate

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Booming Real Estate Market Gets Crushed (Web3 Disruption Imminent)



Web3 is gaining momentum and virtual real estate is at the forefront of the movement. Digital markets could see a shift in cost structures, business strategies, and the distribution of bargaining power (and value) could all change as a result of Web3. In this video, I sit down with Justin and Bryan from Meta Money to discuss the rise of digital land ownership, how the blockchain can improve modern real estate processes, and what the future looks like for the housing market.

Subscribe to Meta Money for more Web3 content ➡️ https://www.youtube.com/c/MetaMoney

What We Discuss:
0:00 Intro
0:28 Should we diversify into digital land?
2:46 Why do we have a system where someone needs a license to organize the sale of something?
4:47 What would happen if we moved all land assessments and land deeds to the blockchain?
7:06 How would private sales be affected by this new industry?
8:52 What is going to happen with the housing market in a few years?
10:21 Are these middleman jobs going to merge online?
11:23 Outro

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All of our videos are strictly personal opinions. Please make sure to do your own research. Never take one person’s opinion for financial guidance. There are multiple strategies and not all strategies fit all people. Our videos ARE NOT financial advice.

#crypto #cryptocurrency #web3 #realestate

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What a More Aggressive Fed Means for the Housing Market



This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, NEAR and FTX US.

On this episode of “The Breakdown,” NLW looks at the Federal Reserve’s increasing hawkishness on inflation. He explains how market expectations around Fed interest rate raises have shifted, and also explains how the mortgage and housing markets are being impacted in ways that have potentially problematic long-term consequences.

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Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/id1438693620?at=1000lSDb Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/538vuul1PuorUDwgkC8JWF?si=ddSvD-HST2e_E7wgxcjtfQ Google: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9ubHdjcnlwdG8ubGlic3luLmNvbS9yc3M= Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW – “The Breakdown” is written, produced by and features Nathaniel Whittemore aka NLW, with editing by Rob Mitchell, research by Scott Hill and additional production support by Eleanor Pahl. Jared Schwartz is our executive producer and our theme music is “Countdown” by Neon Beach. The music you heard today behind our sponsors is “Catnip” by Famous Cats and “I Don’t Know How To Explain It” by Aaron Sprinkle. Image credit: Nuthawut Somsuk/Getty Images, modified by CoinDesk. Join the discussion at discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8.

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When Will The Stock Market Bottom? A Look at Macro-Economic Indicators



When will the #stock market bottom? In this video we take a look at some macroeconomic indicators which are worth following in order help us identify *when* the bottom will occur, rather than the exact price the #SP500 is when it bottoms. In this video we look at the #SP500, #inflation, interest rates, and the unemployment rate. As the saying goes, “Don’t fight the Fed!”

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Housing Bubble COLLAPSING?! What You NEED To Watch!!



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~~~~~~

📺 Useful Vids 📺

Recession 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QYPb9ebUQbs
What Drives Crypto 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XGXJSVV52WY

~~~~~~

⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️

Fed Dallas Paper: https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2022/0329
Fed Paper International Markets: https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2021/0928
Unit Root Stats Methodology: https://www.dallasfed.org/~/media/documents/institute/wpapers/2020/0383r1.pdf
UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index: https://www.ubs.com/global/en/wealth-management/insights/2021/global-real-estate-bubble-index.html
Bloomberg Bubble Index: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/world-s-most-bubbly-housing-markets-flash-2008-style-warnings
Increase in ARM Issuance US: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/adjustable-rate-mortgages-interest-rates-home-prices/
New Zealand Housing Crisis: https://www.economist.com/asia/2022/02/12/new-zealands-housing-crisis-is-worsening
New Zealand Debt: https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/128396590/world-watching-nz-housing-market-as-auckland-labelled-canary-in-coal-mine
Canada Risks: https://www.businessinsider.com/canada-housing-bubble-a-cautionary-tale-us-real-estate-market-2022-4
Canada ARM Issuance: https://financialpost.com/real-estate/mortgages/canadian-home-buyers-pile-into-variable-loans-blunting-impact-of-rising-fixed-rates

~~~~~~

– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
2:10 Fundamental Drivers
6:12 Bubbly Territory
9:59 Changing Tides
12:43 No Subprime
15:32 Kiwi Concerns
18:22 Canuck Concerns
21:57 Conclusion

~~~~~~~

📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#Housing #Property #Bubble #stocks

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