Tag: depeg

Making the call for the failure of the Hong Kong dollar’s (HKD) peg to the U.S. dollar (USD) has itself been a failure – so far. Maybe it was just made too early.

Francis Hunt aka @The Market Sniper has been observing various signals of stress, as the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has repeatedly stepped in to defend the peg since the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates earlier this year.

This time, according to Hunt, it is different. In conversation with Santiago Capital CEO Brent Johnson, he offers an emergency update on the probability of the Hong Kong dollar breaking its U.S. dollar peg, an event Hunt considers underpriced by markets.

Assessing it from fundamental as well as technical perspectives, Francis underscores the timeliness of the trade setup. Continuing capital flight, declining tax revenue, ever-tightening liquidity, and China’s brewing internal issues all undermine a relationship that dates to 1983. Recorded on August 9, 2022.

TIMESTAMPS:

00:01:22 Reviewing the Euro/Swiss Franc Peg Fail
00:06:41 The Backstory on the US Dollar/Hong Kong Dollar Peg Concerns
00:12:56 Digging Deeper into Capital Flight from Hong Kong
00:17:51 The Next Stages of USD/HKD Peg Breakdown
00:24:48 Potential Regional and International Knock-On Effects on a USD/HKD Peg Failure
00:34:15 The Technical Set Up on the USD/HKD Peg Failure Trade

#dollar #hongkong #usd

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Making the call for the failure of the Hong Kong dollar’s (HKD) peg to the U.S. dollar (USD) has itself been a failure – so far. Maybe it was just made too early.

Francis Hunt aka @The Market Sniper has been observing various signals of stress, as the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has repeatedly stepped in to defend the peg since the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates earlier this year.

This time, according to Hunt, it is different. In conversation with Santiago Capital CEO Brent Johnson, he offers an emergency update on the probability of the Hong Kong dollar breaking its U.S. dollar peg, an event Hunt considers underpriced by markets.

Assessing it from fundamental as well as technical perspectives, Francis underscores the timeliness of the trade setup. Continuing capital flight, declining tax revenue, ever-tightening liquidity, and China’s brewing internal issues all undermine a relationship that dates to 1983. Recorded on August 9, 2022.

#dollar #hongkong #usd

Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!

About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business, and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.

Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
🔥 𝗚𝗘𝗧 𝟳 𝗗𝗔𝗬𝗦 of Real Vision’s insights for only $𝟭 (seriously!)
https://rvtv.io/RVfor1dollar
Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter
Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram
Facebook: https://rvtv.io/facebook
Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold

Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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